Blog

Research and analysis from the LoanTape pipeline. Every number comes from loan-level data across auto ABS and SBA lending.

Market Insights

May Auto ABS Nowcast: Prime Moves Too Far

May 2026 Auto ABS nowcast shows prime 30+ DQ up 21 bps, its largest monthly move in LoanTapeData FICO history since 2017.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Subprime Auto Extensions Are Rising Fastest at High LTV

Subprime auto ABS extension rates rose across every LTV bucket since 2018-19, but fastest at 130%+ LTV, where monthly extensions now hit 3.0%.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Auto Extensions Are a Credit Signal Again

April 2026 Auto ABS data shows payment extensions remain above pre-pandemic norms and need to be read alongside delinquency.

Russell Warden
Market Insights

April Auto ABS Nowcast: Subprime Breaks Higher

April 2026 Auto ABS nowcast shows subprime 30+ DQ rising to 16.0% while prime remains steady and most balance is reported.

Russell Warden
Product Updates

Build Auto ABS Charts Without Waiting on an Analyst

AI Data Explorer lets Auto ABS users build editable charts from LoanTape's trusted metric catalog, with Premium AI support for creating and revising visuals.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

What September 2025 Auto Extensions Did Next

September 2025 auto ABS extension flows show how prime and subprime borrowers moved from pre-extension DQ to six-month outcomes.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Auto Extension Rates Are Above the 2018-19 Average

Auto ABS payment extensions reached 8.6% of outstanding loans in March 2026, above the 5.2% 2018-19 average in the LoanTape panel.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

Franchise Restaurants Look Riskier for SBA Lenders

In the latest SBA 7(a) active book, franchise restaurant loans show higher dollar-weighted delinquency than non-franchise loans in QSR and full service.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Auto ABS Trust Adds: March 2026

March 2026 loan trust additions totaled $5.7B across 231K loans, with most material shifts improving versus the existing active book.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Payment-to-Income Ranks Risk

Across 2018+ auto ABS vintages, payment-to-income ranks 12-month default risk inside both prime and subprime credit bands. The slope is visible even after splitting borrowers by FICO.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

The 25% SBA Drop That Wasn't

Q1 2026 SBA approvals look down 25% year over year. Strip out the 43-day federal shutdown and dollar volume is essentially flat with average ticket size up 22%.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

SBA Industry Delinquency: Trucking Leads, Restaurants Carry the Biggest Dollar Exposure

First loan-level look at SBA 7(a) delinquency by industry. Trucking 3.7%, Accommodation/Food 3.0%. With $829M past-due, Accommodation carries the largest dollar exposure.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

SBA Loan-Level Delinquency Is Public for the First Time

SBA's April 2026 data release exposes loan-by-loan delinquency. The first look shows Huntington's 7(a) delinquency rate is three times the top-20 average.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Subprime Auto's 2021 Collateral Break

From 2017 to 2020, subprime auto origination collateral drifted slowly. In 2021 the cohort jumped, and high-LTV and old-vehicle risk have moved together since.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Aging Cars, Rising Delinquency in Subprime Auto

Subprime auto pools have aged from 2.1 to 5.15 years of vehicle age in nine years. One in five subprime balances now stacks 120%+ LTV with a 5+ year vehicle.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Prime Auto 30+ DPD: Each Year Is the New Floor

Prime auto ABS 30+ day DPD hit 1.60% in February 2026, nearly double the 2019 floor. The seasonal overlay shows each year resetting higher.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

The Buy-vs-Build Gap Is Mostly a Sub-$1M Story in SBA Lending

Across 140,696 funded SBA loans, most of the startup-versus-acquisition chargeoff gap sits below $1 million. Above that, the spread shrinks fast.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Auto ABS Trust Adds: February 2026

February 2026 trust adds totaled $7.4B across 215K loans. GM's additions came in cleaner than its existing book, while Exeter's moved the other way.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

Buying Is Usually Safer Than Starting: SBA Chargeoff Rates by Business Age

If the buy-versus-build question matters to you, the SBA data leans one way: across 149,847 loans, acquisition loans beat startups on 5-year chargeoff rates in all 12 industries with enough volume to compare.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Subprime Auto ABS Affordability Reset

Subprime auto ABS is not the same thing as low income anymore. Post-COVID, larger balances were matched by higher borrower incomes and older used vehicles.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

SBA Loan Chargeoff Rates: Sector Volatility Across 25 Years

Real Estate SBA loans hit 33.8% chargeoff within 5 years in 2007. The same sector in 2012: 0.6%. Here's the full range by sector.

Russell Warden
Data Deep Dives

What's in the SEC Auto ABS Loan-Level Schema

A walkthrough of the SEC auto ABS loan-level schema, including exact ABS-EE variables like obligorCreditScore, paymentToIncomePercentage, currentDelinquencyStatus, and chargedoffPrincipalAmount.

Russell Warden
SBA Lending

SBA Chargeoff Rates by Industry: Which Sectors Lose the Most?

We analyzed 1M+ SBA loans across 20 industries. Transport loses at 5.4%. Healthcare holds at 2.3%. See every sector's chargeoff rate.

Russell Warden
Data Deep Dives

What LoanTape Parses and Why It Matters

We parse SEC Form 10-D, ABS-EE XML, and SBA FOIA loan data into normalized datasets. Here is what we cover and how we do it.

Russell Warden
Auto ABS

Auto ABS Delinquency Trends: January 2026

January 2026 auto ABS data shows delinquency holding steady year-over-year, with prime pools improving while subprime 60-plus rates tick higher.

Russell Warden